Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.027312 0.029954 0.032569 0.035346 0.038206 0.041061 0.044122
2024-12-29 0.021899 0.026136 0.030450 0.035144 0.040082 0.045103 0.050574
2025-01-05 0.017972 0.023219 0.028697 0.034777 0.041279 0.047979 0.055362
2025-01-12 0.014820 0.020745 0.027085 0.034248 0.042015 0.050104 0.059098
2025-01-19 0.011671 0.017973 0.024907 0.032889 0.041664 0.050898 0.061247
2025-01-26 0.010409 0.017208 0.024838 0.033732 0.043595 0.054040 0.065804
2025-02-02 0.008869 0.015980 0.024145 0.033792 0.044590 0.056098 0.069124
2025-02-09 0.007029 0.014227 0.022740 0.032965 0.044531 0.056947 0.071076
2025-02-16 0.005982 0.013372 0.022322 0.033202 0.045604 0.058987 0.074270
2025-02-23 0.004898 0.012363 0.021657 0.033107 0.046263 0.060532 0.076890
2025-03-02 0.003850 0.011292 0.020856 0.032807 0.046651 0.061746 0.079113
2025-03-09 0.003052 0.010480 0.020326 0.032788 0.047327 0.063249 0.081626
2025-03-16 0.001873 0.008995 0.019001 0.031940 0.047210 0.064050 0.083577
2025-03-23 0.001104 0.007998 0.018281 0.031833 0.047980 0.065889 0.086734
2025-03-30 0.000465 0.006944 0.017407 0.031493 0.048450 0.067367 0.089472
2025-04-06 0.000053 0.005888 0.016440 0.030986 0.048684 0.068546 0.091846
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004522 0.014891 0.029677 0.047925 0.068561 0.092888
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004300 0.015023 0.030489 0.049664 0.071401 0.097063
2025-04-27 NaN 0.003748 0.014591 0.030546 0.050480 0.073168 0.100019
2025-05-04 NaN 0.002877 0.013539 0.029750 0.050242 0.073701 0.101568
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002504 0.013279 0.029979 0.051223 0.075622 0.104659
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002043 0.012799 0.029887 0.051797 0.077058 0.107189
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001562 0.012195 0.029598 0.052112 0.078177 0.109346